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NBA Finals Game 4 Preview

Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers recap Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final and preview Game 4 of the NBA Finals tonight.

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🏒 HURRICANES EVEN IT UP

Hurricanes 5, Golden Knights 3 — Stanley Cup Final tied 2-2.

Historic Over Run

Between 1995-2024, the Stanley Cup Final NEVER started 4-0 to the over.

Now? Back-to-back years 4-0 to the over


🏒 The Total Mystery

4 straight overs... total still 5.5?

Scott: "Don't you think with four straight overs, we'd see a 6.5?"

Mackenzie: "All the public money is gonna pour in on the over. I guess there's some significant backers of the under."


🏒 Conn Smythe Odds Update

PlayerBeforeAfter
Mitch Marner-200+-115
Taylor Hall+475+390
Logan Stankoven+625+390
Jordan Staal75/16/1

Scott on Staal: "The 37-year-old vet, the captain. Two goals last night. Would be an incredible story if they win and voters give him a legacy award."


🏒 Game 5 Preview (Tomorrow)

Golden Knights at Hurricanes

LineTotal
CAR -1545.5 (over juiced)

Series odds: Carolina -152, Vegas +126

Scott: "I still think this goes seven. This is a seven-game series if I ever saw one."


🏀 NBA Finals Game 4: Tonight

Spurs vs Knicks — At MSG

LineTotal
NYK -1.5216.5

No adjustment from Game 3.


🏀 The Novelty Wore Off

Scott: "I don't think the Knicks face the same pressure. President Trump will not be in attendance. All the pressure was on them in Game 3. Now they can play their game and relax."

The circus is over: No Charles Barkley eating street meat, no Spike Lee pregame interview, no watch party cancellations.

Mackenzie: "It's gonna be a more regular Knicks environment. A louder crowd, more electric, more desperate. The Knicks do better when they slow it down."


🏀 The First Quarter Dilemma

The System Says Knicks

Previous loser favored in next game (Q1 ML):

Record
22-8-1

But the Spurs Are Dominant

Spurs Q1 This Postseason
14-5-2 SU
11-7 ATS
8-1 ATS run

Scott: "The system says the Knicks, but how do you bet against the Spurs in the first quarter?"

Mackenzie: "They were the #1 ATS team in the first quarter during the season. To be two games better than anybody else, I don't think it's coincidence."


🏀 The Officiating Factor

Mike Brown's Comments

Game 3: Spurs shot 24 FTs in the 2nd half. Knicks shot 8.

Mackenzie: "My problem with the NBA is that it's predictable. I would be surprised if the Spurs didn't get a beneficial whistle when down 0-2."

The Wemby Elbow

Wemby threw an elbow at Brunson. Nothing called on the court. NBA reviewed it — no upgrade to flagrant.

Mackenzie: "It seemed as flagrant as anything I've seen. But they're down 2-1. Two-two is a great result for the NBA, which is an entertainment product."

What This Means Tonight

Mackenzie: "Mike Brown's comments were very smart. Now if it's 35 free throws to 15, it's gonna look suspicious. They're gonna let the refs be less involved. Both ways."

Scott: "Just don't call fouls for either team. Let them play physical. We're gonna see an under game."


🏀 The Under Case

ResultWinner
UnderKnicks
UnderKnicks
OverSpurs

Mackenzie: "So far in the series: two unders, two Knicks wins. One over, one Spurs win. The Knicks are gonna try to revert to that style."


🏀 Props & Series Bets

Josh Hart +1600 Rebounds Leader: ALIVE

Only 3 rebounds away from catching KAT.

Mackenzie: "Hart only three rebounds away. I feel like that's a live bet if you have some of that 16/1 in your pocket."

Finals MVP

PlayerOdds
Jalen Brunson+105
Victor Wembanyama+160

⚾ A'S IN VEGAS: THE TOTAL SAGA

GameTotalFinalResult
G11129 runsOVER (11 HRs)
G213.512 runsUnder (6 HRs)
G314.5Tonight

Tonight: Brandon Sprout vs Jack Perkins


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