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# Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
- URL: https://www.bettorday.com/wednesday-july-29th-2026/
- Published: 2026-07-29T10:00:47.000Z
- Updated: 2026-07-29T10:00:47.000Z
- Author: Scott Seidenberg
- Tags: Newsletter

## Trench Report SOS & 32 in 32: Cleveland Browns

*Scott Seidenberg goes over our NFL Preseason Trench Report rankings and Strength of Schedule. Plus we continue our 32 teams in 32 shows previews with the Cleveland Browns.* 

[![CTA Image](https://storage.ghost.io/c/3d/8b/3d8b18a7-5597-46d3-a5fc-54ba849c80c9/content/images/2026/07/NEW-POD-COVER.png)](https://bleav.com/shows/bettor-day/?ref=bettorday.com) 

Listen to today's Podcast episode and don't forget to subscribe! 

[Listen ](https://bleav.com/shows/bettor-day/?ref=bettorday.com) 

# 🏈 THE TRENCH REPORT STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE IS LIVE

**Part 1 went out to all subscribers yesterday — free to the public** at [BettorDay.com](https://www.bettorday.com/the-2026-trench-strength-of-schedule-report/) and on the BettorDay mobile app. (NFL tab → NFL HQ → NFL Articles, or right on the homepage.)

---

## How It Was Built

**The method:** Take the final 2025 Trench Report rankings, then account for 2026 roster turnover

**The caveat:** Rookies can't be graded yet. Rookie grades come during the preseason once they have snaps.

**For reference, the FINAL 2025 rankings** (in NFL HQ for Insider/Premium): Rams 1, Broncos 2, Seahawks 3, Vikings 4, Bills 5.

---

## PRESEASON 2026 TRENCH RANKINGS

### The Top 10 (All in the Green)

| Rank | Team                 |
| ---- | -------------------- |
| 1    | **Los Angeles Rams** |
| 2    | Philadelphia Eagles  |
| 3    | Denver Broncos       |
| 4    | Kansas City Chiefs   |
| 5    | Houston Texans       |
| 6    | Indianapolis Colts   |
| 7    | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 8    | Pittsburgh Steelers  |
| 9    | Baltimore Ravens     |
| 10   | Jacksonville Jaguars |

**Note:** Tampa's grades change significantly if Vita Vea gets traded — it hits both their run defense and pass rush.

### The Bottom 5

| Rank | Team                   |
| ---- | ---------------------- |
| 32   | **Cincinnati Bengals** |
| 31   | Las Vegas Raiders      |
| 30   | Green Bay Packers      |
| 29   | Miami Dolphins         |
| 28   | Arizona Cardinals      |

---

## THE STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

### Most DIFFICULT Trench Schedules

| Rank | Team                  |
| ---- | --------------------- |
| 1    | **Arizona Cardinals** |
| 2    | **Dallas Cowboys**    |
| 3    | New York Giants       |
| 4    | Los Angeles Chargers  |
| 5    | Jacksonville Jaguars  |

**On Arizona:** "There's a reason they have the lowest win total and are projected for the worst record. Their terrible run defense has to face the Rams' top run-blocking unit twice AND the 49ers twice. They are up against it."

### Easiest Trench Schedules

| Rank | Team                  |
| ---- | --------------------- |
| 1    | **Detroit Lions**     |
| 2    | New York Jets         |
| 3    | **Minnesota Vikings** |
| 4    | New England Patriots  |
| 5    | Miami Dolphins        |

**Note:** The AFC East clusters here — though Buffalo sits \~16th, essentially dead even.

---

## THE HEADLINE PROJECTION

### Rams 17-0\. Bengals 0-17.

**The Rams** are favored in the trenches in **every single game** on their schedule. Toughest test: Philadelphia.

**The Bengals** lose the trench battle **every single week**. Their best week: Miami.

**Scott:** "That doesn't mean the Rams win 17 games — but based on the preseason trench report, they're ahead of every opponent they face."

---

## The Schedule-Shape Angle

The full article also breaks down **front-loaded vs back-loaded** trench schedules — teams with brutal starts that soften late are **buy-low candidates** once they drop a few early games and the adjusted win totals move.

---

## 📄 PART 2 DROPS FRIDAY

**Insider and Premium exclusive:** Recommended bets built off the preseason trench SOS — season-long stat projections, player props, and awards markets.

---

# 🏈 32 IN 32: CLEVELAND BROWNS

---

## The Market

| Market        | Line                |
| ------------- | ------------------- |
| Make playoffs | **+700**            |
| Win total     | **5.5** (over -130) |

---

## Total Transition

| Position              | Change                                                                 |
| --------------------- | ---------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Head coach            | Kevin Stefanski → **Todd Monken** (Stefanski to Atlanta)               |
| Defensive coordinator | Jim Schwartz stepped away after being passed over → **Mike Rutenberg** |
| Edge                  | **Myles Garrett traded to the Rams for Jared Verse**                   |

**On the trade:** "Jared Verse is a very nice pass rusher, young, under control. He is not Myles Garrett. This defense takes a hit — as any team would losing a player of that caliber."

**The flyer:** **Jared Verse +3000 DPOY** — "If you think he can replicate what Garrett did for this defense, maybe that's worth it."

**The continuity note:** A lot of Schwartz's position coaches remain, so the system may stay similar.

**Yesterday's news:** **Denzel Ward** gets a 2-year, $62.2M extension — now the **highest-paid cornerback in the NFL**. At least the secondary has an anchor.

---

## The Quarterback Question

### Watson or Shedeur?

**Scott's read:** "I think Watson has the leg up — because you've got to try to get SOMETHING out of him."

**The context:** Watson has played 19 games since Cleveland acquired him and missed all of last season with a torn Achilles. He's **still only 30 years old**. Now he gets an offensive-minded head coach opening the competition.

**The strategy:** "This contract was a complete waste and set the organization back years — but you might as well salvage something. You're drafting a quarterback next year. Shedeur Sanders or Dillon Gabriel is not the future of this team. A new regime is going to want THEIR guy. So see what Watson can get you — and maybe you trade him mid-season to a contender if a quarterback goes down somewhere."

Watson is **+5500 Comeback Player of the Year**.

---

## The Weapons

Not a bad supporting cast: **Quinshon Judkins** back from injury and good to go, **Harold Fannon Jr.** showed he can be a top-tier tight end, plus **Jerry Jeudy** outside.

---

## THE INTERESTING BET: Division Wins

### Browns Over 1.5 Division Wins — Juiced to -140

**The book's stance:** Cleveland wins TWO division games.

**The precedent:** Even in last year's disaster, they played Baltimore tough (lost by a possession) and **beat both the Steelers and Bengals to end the year** — 2 of their 5 wins were in-division.

**Scott leans NO. Here's why:**

"They don't have the cupcake game at the end of the year. **Their final game is against the Bengals** — a team competing for a wild card who will NEED that game. You don't get the respite where an already-clinched opponent rests their starters in week 18\. That's the free win you'd want on this schedule, and it isn't there."

---

## The Schedule Quirk: A Month at Home

**Open:** Two straight road games in Florida (at Jacksonville, at Tampa Bay).

**Then the sweet spot:** After a road game at New Orleans on **November 8th**, the Browns don't board a plane again until **December 20th at the Giants.**

| Date   | Game          |
| ------ | ------------- |
| Nov 15 | vs Houston    |
| —      | BYE           |
| —      | vs Las Vegas  |
| —      | vs Cincinnati |
| —      | vs Atlanta    |
| Dec 20 | at Giants     |

**Scott:** "Over a month without leaving Cleveland. Winnable game against Vegas, maybe they steal one from Cincinnati or Atlanta. If they benefit from that stretch, maybe they exceed 5.5."

---

## 📅 Coming Up

### 32 in 32

- **Thursday:** Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC North finale)
- **Friday:** Houston Texans (AFC South begins)

### Friday

- **Trench Report SOS Part 2** — Insider/Premium exclusive with recommended bets

### Today

- **Off the Board:** Colby & Jake live on YouTube/Twitter

### August 13th

- **The BettorDay Football Show debuts**

---

## 📺 PROGRAMMING: FIDDLE JOINS THE ROSTER

**Michael Fiddle (@FiddlesPicks)** — NBA/WNBA betting standout and NFL content writer for Yahoo Sports — **joins the pod every Tuesday morning** this season.

**The fall lineup is set:** Shows, guests, and co-hosts locked for every day of the week, plus the **BettorDay Football Show** live stream with Steve Fezzik and Joshua Nunn every Thursday. Full announcement coming next week!

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The day is finally here — **the official Bettor Day mobile app is live on the App Store.**

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---

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