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# Wednesday, July 1st, 2026
- URL: https://www.bettorday.com/wednesday-july-1st-2026/
- Published: 2026-07-01T10:00:37.000Z
- Updated: 2026-07-01T10:00:36.000Z
- Author: Scott Seidenberg
- Tags: Newsletter

## Betting with Bearman Bettor Day Simulcast

*It's a Betting with Bearman / Bettor Day Simulcast. Scott Seidenberg and David Bearman talk World Cup, Major League Baseball and more! Check out Betting with Bearman on the Bleav Podcast Network and BearmanBets.com*

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Listen to today's Podcast episode and don't forget to subscribe! 

[Listen ](https://bleav.com/shows/bettor-day/?ref=bettorday.com) 

## ⚽ WORLD CUP: THE SHOOTOUT DEBATE

### Bearman's Clock Rant

**Bearman:** "Not one soccer lover, European person, South American soccer person has ever given me a good explanation for why the world's most popular sport is so ambiguous when it comes to the clock."

**Scott:** "How long do you want these guys to play? You're only allowed so many subs. There has to be a way to end the game."

---

## ⚽ THE DRAWS KEEP PRINTING

### Knockout Round Results

| Match                  | Result           | Draw?  |
| ---------------------- | ---------------- | ------ |
| Brazil vs Japan        | 2-1 (96' winner) | Almost |
| Germany vs Paraguay    | 1-1 → PKs        | ✅      |
| Morocco vs Netherlands | 1-1 → PKs        | ✅      |
| Canada vs South Africa | 1-0 (ET)         | Almost |

**Scott:** "We almost had all four games end in regulation draws because the ones that didn't had stoppage time goals."

---

## ⚽ WEDNESDAY: USA vs BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA

### The Odds (To Advance)

| Team    | Odds      |
| ------- | --------- |
| **USA** | **\-750** |
| Bosnia  | +250      |

**Match odds:** USA -280, Draw +380

---

### Scott's Play: USA Team Total Over

**USA over 1.5 goals:** \-188

**USA over 2.5 goals:** +180

**Scott:** "The US has been very good offensively. I think they're gonna score two in this one."

**The stats (Bearman):**

- USA scored in 11 of 12 last matches
- USA scored 2+ goals in 8 of 10 matches
- USA scored 2+ in ALL THREE World Cup matches
- Bosnia allowed 2+ expected goals — 34th of 48 teams
- Bosnia allowed at least 1 goal in all 3 World Cup matches

**Scott's approach:** "Three quarters of a unit on over 1.5, quarter unit on over 2.5."

---

## ⚽ BELGIUM vs SENEGAL

### Belgium: Most Disappointing Team?

| Match          | Result               |
| -------------- | -------------------- |
| vs Egypt       | Draw                 |
| vs Iran        | 0-0 (couldn't score) |
| vs New Zealand | Win                  |

**Odds:** Belgium -170 to advance, Senegal +138

**Scott:** "Everything tells me Belgium, but they've been so disappointing. Take the Asian handicap +1 on Senegal."

---

## ⚽ ENGLAND vs DR CONGO

### The Bet: Congo Under 0.5 Goals

**Odds:** \-180 (also known as England to win to nil)

**Scott:** "England's defense is incredible. Ghana got shut out, Panama got shut out. I think Congo gets shut out as well."

**England:** \-900 to advance

**African countries:** 10 qualified, 9 reached knockout round

---

## ⚽ WORLD CUP FORMAT PROBLEMS

### The Bracket Is Broken

**Bearman:** "Germany versus France in the Round of 16? Two of the top five teams? There's gotta be a way where the bracket is more equal."

**Scott:** "You took a 16-team bracket that was fairly equal. You add eight third-place teams that are not all created equal, and now you got a bracket that makes no sense."

**The fix:** Third-place teams play a play-in game (like the First Four in March Madness).

---

## ⚾ MIAMI MARLINS: HISTORIC JUNE

### The Numbers

| Stat               | Number                         |
| ------------------ | ------------------------------ |
| Record             | 45-40                          |
| June wins          | **23** (tied franchise record) |
| Last 11            | 9-2                            |
| Run differential   | +13                            |
| Pythagorean record | 44-41                          |

**Bearman:** "I didn't think I'd see the day where the Marlins are a -142 favorite on the road."

---

### Division vs Pennant

| Bet                | Odds | Verdict      |
| ------------------ | ---- | ------------ |
| Marlins NL East    | 30/1 | Pass         |
| Marlins NL Pennant | 80/1 | Better value |

**Scott:** "The Marlins are not going to win the NL East. They're five and a half games out."

**Bearman:** "This team has NEVER won a division. Two World Series, zero division titles. Once you get into the tournament, anything can happen."

**Sandy Alcantara:** 6 wins in June alone — "Cy Sandy is back!"

---

## ⚾ PHILLIES: THE PLAY

### Scott's Case

| Bet                   | Odds     |
| --------------------- | -------- |
| **Phillies NL East**  | **+150** |
| Phillies World Series | 13/1     |

**Scott:** "This is an aging roster. All their stars are in their 30s. The window is closing right now. This might be their last opportunity."

**The deadline:** "Dave Dombrowski and the Phillies understand they need to be aggressive at the trade deadline."

**The core:** Wheeler, Harper, Turner, Schwarber, Realmuto — all 30+

---

## ⚾ YANKEES: HISTORIC FUTILITY

### First Time in Franchise History

**The streak:** 4 straight games with 3 or fewer hits

**Scott:** "As long and treasured history as the Yankees franchise is, this is the first time ever."

- Lost 6 straight
- Swept by Red Sox at Fenway
- Given up AL East lead to Rays

---

### But Still the Bet

**Yankees World Series:** 5/1

**Scott:** "When healthy, this is the best team in Major League Baseball not named the Los Angeles Dodgers."

**The rotation:** Max Fried, Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón, Cam Schlittler — "As good as any four-man rotation in baseball."

**Coming back:** Judge, Stanton, Grisham

---

## ⚾ Mets Watch

**Fastest to 50 losses in franchise history**

**Roster cost:** $350 million

**Bearman:** "This would be driving Mets fans off a bridge if it wasn't for the fact that the Knicks just won a world title."

---

## 📅 Coming Up

### Wednesday (July 1st)

- **World Cup:** USA vs Bosnia-Herzegovina
- **World Cup:** Belgium vs Senegal
- **World Cup:** England vs DR Congo

### This Week

- **July 4th:** Full baseball slate
- **Off the Board:** Live streams

### Fezzik's Betting Boot Camp

We sent an email out yesterday detailing the discount for Bettor Day subscribers. Check out the details [**HERE.**](https://www.bettorday.com/email/ec03eb30-0eba-4d06-b7ea-46001288938b/)

---

## 📱 BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: BETTOR DAY APP COMING!

### Apple App Store + Google Play Store

**Launch:** Mid July — August 1st at the latest

### Features

- **Push notifications:** Picks delivered directly to your phone
- **Game Centers:** All sports
- **Football HQ's:** Brand new for the season
- **Everything from BettorDay.com** In one all-inclusive app

**Scott:** "I think it's gonna be a real game changer when it comes to doing all your handicapping, checking your live odds and scores, and everything you need to become a better bettor."

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