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# Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
- URL: https://www.bettorday.com/wednesday-august-26th-2026/
- Published: 2026-08-26T10:00:10.000Z
- Updated: 2026-08-26T10:00:09.000Z
- Author: Scott Seidenberg
- Tags: Newsletter

## Tour Championship Best Bets & 32 in 32: New Orleans Saints

*Scott Seidenberg and David Bearman preview the PGA Tour Championship with Best Bets to win the Fedex Cup. Plus our 32 in 32 previews continue with the New Orleans Saints.*

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## 🏆 BEARMAN CASHES WYNDHAM CLARK AT 30/1

**That's his FIFTH outright of the year** — "the best year I've had with golf outrights."

**Bearman on what impressed him:** "He had a five-shot lead that disappeared because he struggled early and Rory caught fire. The whole world is rooting against him — everybody loves Rory, and for whatever reason people don't like Wyndham.

**And when it mattered most, he hadn't hit a putt in twenty holes. He went birdie-birdie-birdie to finish.** That shows me he has the chutzpah of a champion. **I think this is just the beginning — I think we get a couple more majors out of him.**"

---

# ⛳ BIG NEWS: THE PGA TOUR IS BLOWING IT UP

## Match Play Returns in 2028

**The context:** The new commissioner — who came over from the NFL — is completely restructuring the tour. Two tiers: a **championship series** of \~120 players across 20-some events, plus a second tier with **promotion and relegation.**

---

### THE NEW FORMAT

**Step 1:** The season-ending event crowns an **event champion** AND a **season-long points champion.** Two trophies. Season over.

**Step 2:** **The top 32 advance to a TWO-WEEK MATCH PLAY EVENT.**

- **Week one:** Eight pods of four, round robin — **every player guaranteed three matches**
- **Week two:** Top two from each group = **16 players, standard Sweet 16 bracket down to one**
- **Losers keep playing** — they rank 1 through 16, with secondary/third/fourth brackets like the Maui Invitational, "because every slot is a different price and you want these guys to have four matches"

### Why It Fixes the Old WGC Match Play

**Bearman:** "The problem back in the day was Tiger or Rory or Phil losing in the first round, and then NBC and CBS are stuck with 62 versus 17 and **no one's ever heard of these people.** They changed to group play to guarantee three matches, and you STILL got no-names making it.

**This is the final 32 in the world, going to the final 16.** The worst possible winner would be ranked 32nd — **which last week was somewhere below Patrick Cantlay and Gary Woodland.**

**Studies have shown match play gets higher ratings than stroke play.** The new commissioner is giving fans what they want."

**Scott:** "The Ryder Cup is the perfect example. And you know what it means for us, — **another event to bet on.**"

---

# ⛳ THE TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP — EAST LAKE

*Tees off tomorrow.*

## The Course

**Bearman:** "Typical Donald Ross — pretty straightforward, but **tricky elevated greens and difficult rough you don't want to miss the fairway in.** They've shrunk the fairways over the years. **You need to hit fairways and good irons into the greens.**

And because it's the same course every year with mostly the same players, **it is course-history friendly.**"

---

## The Board

| Golfer            | Outright  | Without Scottie |
| ----------------- | --------- | --------------- |
| Scottie Scheffler | +310      | —               |
| **Rory McIlroy**  | +950      | **+700**        |
| **Wyndham Clark** | **+1800** | +1400           |
| Russell Henley    | 30/1      | 22/1            |
| **Tom Kim**       | **+4500** | **33/1**        |

---

## ⭐ RORY McILROY (+950)

**The course résumé:** **Three-time winner here** (2016, 2019, 2022) and three FedEx Cup titles, runner-up in 2014\. **Ranks FIRST at this course in strokes gained tee-to-green, off the green, AND short game among all players.** Third on tour in overall strokes gained, second off the tee.

**Bearman:** "This is a guy who's won back-to-back Masters and **kind of just shows up when he WANTS to show up. The old Yankees, the Lakers of the day — when it means something, they show up.** He was tied with Wyndham with three holes to go last week and butchered the par five like nothing I've ever seen out of him."

**The Scheffler read:** "I don't particularly think Scottie's playing the way Scottie should be playing. **I know he had hand, foot, and mouth disease after winning the week before** — don't know how that would be. And he hasn't played this course great. He won it two years ago, but not as well as Rory has played it. **With the odds better and longer on Rory — though I'll take Scottie top five like I do every week.**"

---

## ⭐ WYNDHAM CLARK (+1800) — THE VALUE PLAY

**Bearman:** "**I'm STUNNED you're getting 18/1.** It paid 30/1 last week, but that was 30/1 in a 50-person field when Clark ISN'T off a win. **He dominated the field other than the front nine Sunday, and then dominated when he needed to.** I thought this would be in the fifteens."

**The record here:** 3rd in 2023, 8th in 2024\. **"His putter right now is as good as anybody in the game."**

### 🏆 THE NARRATIVE ANGLE: PLAYER OF THE YEAR IS UP FOR GRABS

| Contender         | Case                                                                                          |
| ----------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Scottie Scheffler | 2 wins including a playoff event, **a dozen runner-ups**, No. 1 in every statistical category |
| **Wyndham Clark** | **US Open + BMW + CJ Cup**                                                                    |
| Cameron Young     | 3 wins                                                                                        |
| Chris Gotterup    | 3 wins                                                                                        |

**Bearman:** "**This event could very well decide Player of the Year — and I like Wyndham Clark in that.**"

---

## The Rest of the Card

**Russell Henley — 30/1 outright, +110 top 10:** "**He has never finished worse than 14th at this event.** Runner-up last year, opened with a 61 last year, and he's from Georgia. And quietly — **14 of his 19 events are top-25 finishes.**"

**Tom Kim — +4500 (33/1 without Scottie):** The long shot Bearman gave out two weeks ago, right on cue. "He lives right down there."

---

# 🏈 32 IN 32: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

## The Market

| Market        | Line            |
| ------------- | --------------- |
| Win total     | 7.5 (over -120) |
| Make playoffs | +198            |
| **NFC South** | **+270** (2nd)  |

---

## The "Why Not New Orleans" Case

**Bearman:** "When SportsLine asked me about the South I said — **why not New Orleans? They don't have any fewer holes than the other three knuckleheads in that division.**

Tampa should be the best team, and if you asked me to pick today I'd pick them. **But do you trust Baker Mayfield? The older receivers? Todd Bowles, who seems to throw three games away every year — how he still has a job amazes me.** And you can't trust anything Atlanta is doing at quarterback. **The Panthers won it last year and I expect them to take a step back.**

**Mark my word — the Saints are not making the playoffs unless they win the division.**"

**The injuries:** **Jordan Tyson** (the rookie receiver — "I bet him to win Offensive Rookie of the Year very early and thought I had good value; **I picked an NFC South receiver last year and won it with Tetairoa McMillan**") is out about a month. Alvin Kamara still banged up; they traded for **Zamir White** for depth behind Travis Etienne.

**Bearman:** "I like their coach and I like the Saints' FUTURE a little more than I like their schedule this year."

---

## ⭐ THE PLAY: WAIT ON THE DIVISION BET

### The Schedule Shape

| Stretch         | Games                                                                                   |
| --------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| **Opening**     | **at Detroit, at Baltimore** — "as difficult a 1-2 start as you're going to get"        |
| Middle          | Vegas, Atlanta (H), Minnesota (H), at the Giants, **Pittsburgh overseas**, then the BYE |
| Post-bye        | **Cleveland, Carolina at home**                                                         |
| Worry spots     | at Chicago, at Cincinnati                                                               |
| **Weeks 14-18** | **Carolina, Tampa, Atlanta, Tampa — with Arizona sandwiched in**                        |

---

### The Timing Play

**Scott:** "**Do NOT bet them at +270 right now.** If they're 0-2 after Detroit and Baltimore, that becomes +300, +400\. They could have a very bad record at the bye.

**But look at how the season ENDS.** Four division games from week 14 on with the Arizona cupcake in between. **They could be in LAST PLACE entering week 14 and still win the division** by going 4-1 in that stretch — as long as they take three of four in the division."

**Bearman:** "**Jump in at the bye week.** They come back from overseas having played Detroit, Baltimore, and Minnesota — **you're looking at 2-5, maybe 3-4 at best.** At that point you can probably get them at **3.5 or 4 to 1.** And from week nine on, the only games I'd worry about are back-to-back at Chicago and at Cincinnati — **and neither of those teams scares us. If you're 2-5 coming back, there's no reason you can't win six or seven of your last nine and take the division.**"

**The verdict:** an **in-season play** on the Saints division bet, or an **in-season adjusted win total.**

---

## 📊 TRENCH REPORT UPDATE

**The COLLEGE FOOTBALL Trench Report is LIVE for Week 0** — running on 2025 data with roster turnover for now, sharpening as real 2026 data comes in.

**The NFL Trench Report updates every week** with preseason injury news. Both at [BettorDay.com](https://www.bettorday.com/) and in the app for Insider & Premium members.

**And a Week 0 college football bet is already posted for Premium members! More coming!** 

---

## 📅 Coming Up

### TOMORROW

- AJ Hoffman + **32 in 32: Tampa Bay Buccaneers**
- **🎬 THE BETTOR DAY FOOTBALL SHOW — LIVE FROM RADIO ROW AT CIRCA** for Ultimate Contest sign-up weekend. Scott and Fezzik on site, Duck on the stream. Contest talk + **Week 0 college football best bets.** 2 PM ET.
- **Preseason Week 3** kicks off

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---

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