Spurs Make it a Series, Stanley Cup Final Game 4 & HR Derby in Vegas
Scott Seidenberg recaps last night's Spurs win over the Knicks as the NBA Finals is now a 2-1 series. Tonight the Golden Knights look to take a 3-1 lead over the Hurricanes in the Stanley Cup Final and a Home Run Derby last night in Vegas between the A's and Brewers. Plus Colby Marchio with the latest around Major League Baseball.
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🏀 SPURS SURVIVE MSG CIRCUS
Spurs 115, Knicks 111 — San Antonio trails 2-1.
The Scene
Scott: "It was a circus at Madison Square Garden last night. With President Trump in attendance, security was heightened. They canceled the watch party outside the arena. People working the game, working media, had to wait over an hour just to get into the building."
🏀 The Stars
Victor Wembanyama: 32 points
Jalen Brunson: 32 points
🏀 NBA Finals MVP Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | +105 |
| Victor Wembanyama | +165 |
Series odds: Knicks -184, Spurs +154
Scott: "Brunson even money was the best bet we gave out yesterday. I still maintain Brunson at plus one-oh-five is the best bet to win NBA Finals MVP."
🏀 The Props Recap
❌ De'Aaron Fox over 14.5
| Stat | Line |
|---|---|
| Points | 12 |
| FG | 4-14 |
| 3PT | 0-5 |
Scott: "It wasn't for lack of shooting. He just didn't have it."
✅ KAT PRA under 33.5
| Stat | Line |
|---|---|
| Points | 11 |
| Rebounds | 8 |
| Assists | 1 |
| PRA | 20 ✅ |
📈 Josh Hart +1600 Rebounds Leader: ALIVE
| Player | Series Rebounds |
|---|---|
| KAT | 33 |
| Josh Hart | 30 |
Scott: "Hart had nine boards last night — the leading rebounder in the game. He's got a real good chance to win that bet."
🏀 The Mikal Bridges Disaster
| Stat | Line |
|---|---|
| Points | 2 |
| FG | 1-5 |
| Shots in first 3 quarters | 1 |
Scott: "99% of bets were on Bridges over his points prop. He went eight for thirteen, had 20 points in Game 2. Last night? One shot for the first three quarters. Five shots total. I'm just speechless. I am stunned."
The reality: "Bridges has to contribute if the Knicks are going to win these NBA Finals. Last night he did not contribute."
🏀 Game 4 Preview (Tomorrow)
Knicks vs Spurs — At MSG
| Line | Total |
|---|---|
| NYK -1.5 | 216.5 |
FIRST QUARTER SYSTEM: UNLOCKED
Previous loser favored in next game (Q1 ML):
| This Season |
|---|
| 22-8-1 |
Scott's Dilemma
Spurs Q1 this postseason: 14-5-2 SU, 11-7 ATS (8-1 ATS run)
Scott: "The Spurs have been the best first quarter team in the NBA playoffs. How do I bet against this team in the first 12 minutes? But it's the system. We've come this far. We cannot back down."
The Lean
Scott: "The defensive intensity might pick up in what is essentially the most pivotal game of this series. I think we might revert back to an under."
🏒 Stanley Cup Final Game 4: Tonight
Hurricanes vs Golden Knights — In Vegas
| Line | Total |
|---|---|
| Even -110 | 5.5 (over -130) |
Three Straight Overs... But
| Game | 1st Period | Full Game |
|---|---|---|
| G1 | 2-1 (Over) | Over |
| G2 | 0-0 (Under) | Over |
| G3 | 0-0 (Under) | Over |
The angle: First period under + full game over = 2 of 3.
Live betting: "If you get an under 1.5 in the first period, the live number drops to 4.5 or even 3.5."
🏒 The Goaltender Question
Brandon Bussi was in the starter's net for practice.
Scott: "To give the team life and energy, I would start Bussi. The team would rally in front of the rookie. If Bussi's in net, I think we get a lower scoring game. Maybe Vegas team total under 2.5."
🏒 Conn Smythe Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mitch Marner | -230 |
| Taylor Hall | +500 |
| Logan Stankoven | +650 |
⚾ A'S IN VEGAS: ABSOLUTE CIRCUS
Brewers 15, A's 14 (12 innings)
11 HOME RUNS.
Kyle Harrison's Night
| IP | Runs | Hits | HR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
Scott: "Kyle Harrison, who hasn't had a start this year where he's allowed more than two runs... doesn't make it out of the third inning."
The Chaos
| Inning | Event |
|---|---|
| Top 9 | Brewers score 2 to tie |
| Top 10 | Brewers score 4 |
| Bot 10 | A's score 4 |
| Top 12 | Brewers score 1 |
| Bot 12 | A's can't bring in Ghost Runner |
Total was 11. Final was 29 runs.
⚾ Tonight: A's in Vegas Game 2
Brewers vs A's
| Line | Total |
|---|---|
| — | 12.5 |
Pitchers: Robert Gasser vs JT Ginn
Scott: "How do you not go over? Check the weather, check the wind. But for every game played here in Vegas, we're gonna see runs like this. 90 degrees, maybe some wind, ball's gonna fly."
⚾ Colby's MLB Update
Shohei Ohtani: "All the Way Back"
Colby: "It's about damn time. Hashtag the kid's back. He's seeing the ball extremely well. These breaks when he wasn't pitching the day after were clearly the dumbest thing Dave Roberts could have allowed."
Tomorrow: Must-Watch TV
Paul Skenes vs Shohei Ohtani/Dodgers
Colby: "The Monstars of LA against one of the best pitchers in baseball. That is going to be must-watch TV."
Davis Martin Watch
Colby: "If he has a dominant outing against the Braves, his odds are going to trickle down again. He's one of the most shocking things to come out of that White Sox pitching staff."
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