Red Hot Red Sox
Scott Seidenberg and Colby Marchio react to the Red Sox winning streak and talk futures in baseball. Plus SEC Media Days has us thinking about College Football.
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⚾ RED SOX: 14 STRAIGHT WINS
One Shy of the Franchise Record
Yesterday: Red Sox 6, Orioles 5 — come-from-behind again. Tied it in the 7th, took the lead on a homer in the 8th.
| Stat | Number |
|---|---|
| Win streak | 14 (franchise record: 15) |
| Record | 51-48 |
| AL East deficit | 6 games (Rays) |
| Wild card | IN — 3rd spot, 1 back of Guardians for 2nd |
The Schedule Case
The Sox have the 9th easiest remaining schedule in MLB.
The hard part: 3 vs Dodgers, 3 vs Rays, 4 vs Yankees, 3 vs Cubs, 3 vs White Sox, 3 vs Guardians
The soft part: 6 vs Orioles, 7 vs Blue Jays, 7 vs A's, 3 vs Giants, 3 vs Royals, 3 vs Angels
Scott: "Seven games remaining against the teams ahead of them — four with the Yankees, three with the Rays. Win five of those seven and you make up SERIOUS ground. And who's to say when this team loses again?"
Tonight: Ranger Suarez vs Kyle Bradish — BOS -144.
⚾ COLBY'S POSITION: THE BOOSTED BET
The Portfolio
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Red Sox AL East | 44/1 (boosted from ~22/1) |
| Red Sox AL Pennant | 20/1 |
Colby: "Their pitching rotation is NAILS. Ton of depth, Sonny Gray looks fantastic. The only issue is the offense — it's atrocious. But they should buy at the deadline. When I bet it they were 10 games out; now it's six."
The current number: 10/1-12/1 depending on the book. Colby: "Anything above 10/1 is worth dabbling. Maybe this is a buy-high moment, but they're a very dangerous team."
Colby's AL Rankings
On the Yankees: "As a Yankee fan — I don't believe in them. They're horrible. Without Aaron Judge, they're lifeless. No sense of urgency. You should probably be dabbling on them to MISS the playoffs."
On the Rays comparison: "Compare pitching staffs — I lean heavily Red Sox. The Rays' offense is better, but if Boston gets some bats..."
The other buy: "The best pitching rotation in the AL? The RANGERS. If you get 2023 Evan Carter, 2023 Josh Jung, keep them healthy with Langford out there — absolutely dangerous. And Skip Schumaker is a great coach. Those are the two teams for your futures portfolio."
⚾ THE WHEELER WATCH: THE MIZ CRACK-UP BEGINS
Exactly What We Said Would Happen
Misiorowski yesterday vs the Mets: 4 innings. FOUR. (6 Ks, 1 unearned run, ERA to 1.57 — brilliant, but...)
The report out of Milwaukee: The Brewers WILL be monitoring his innings down the stretch.
Scott: "That's not a quality start. That's nowhere NEAR a quality start. And that's the guy we have to lay almost four dollars on to win the Cy Young? No, thank you."
The Market Move
| Pitcher | ASB Odds | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Misiorowski | -550 | -360 (still "dumb") |
| Christopher Sanchez | +500 | +700 |
| Zack Wheeler | +1600 | +1400 |
The Sanchez note: Won last night vs the Dodgers (3 ER, 7 Ks, 0 BB) — ✅ the Phillies ML cashed for everyone who tailed.
Tonight: WHEELER vs the Dodgers (PHI -136).
Scott: "If he has a good start tonight, this +1400 number is NOT going to exist. He still doesn't show on the leaderboards because of innings — that changes very shortly. Go get Wheeler NOW."
🏈 SEC MEDIA DAYS: THE BOARD
The Arch Manning Year?
| Team | SEC Odds |
|---|---|
| Texas | +300 |
| Georgia | +320 |
| Texas A&M | +850 |
| Alabama | +850 |
Scott: "Everyone's talking about the SEC breaking away from the NCAA — let's not have that conversation. Will it be Texas's year with Arch? Will it be Georgia? More college football coming in the next few days."
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