Greatest NBA Finals Comeback & World Cup Preview
Scott Seidenberg recaps the Knicks historic 29 point comeback win over the Spurs in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Brad Thomas previews the World Cup with Best Bets!
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🏀 GREATEST COMEBACK IN NBA FINALS HISTORY
Knicks 107, Spurs 106 — New York leads 3-1.
The Deficit
| When | Score | Deficit |
|---|---|---|
| 9:27 left in Q3 | 81-52 | Down 29 |
| Live ML at that point | — | +2500 |
The Hero: OG Anunoby
| Stat | Line |
|---|---|
| Points | 33 |
| FG | 10-15 |
| 3PT | 7-9 |
| The Winner | Tip-in with 1.2 seconds left |
Scott: "I'm still speechless. Like I really am speechless."
🏀 First Quarter System Update
| System | New Record |
|---|---|
| Team off loss, favored | 22-9-1 |
The Spurs 1Q Dominance Continues
| Spurs Q1 | Record |
|---|---|
| Postseason | 15-5-2 |
| ATS | 12-7 |
| Last 10 ATS | 9-1 |
Both Systems align for Game 5. BEST BET: Spurs 1st Quarter ML
🏀 NBA Finals MVP Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | -140 |
| Victor Wembanyama | +350 |
| OG Anunoby | +430 |
🏀 Game 5 Preview (Saturday)
Knicks at Spurs
| Line | Total |
|---|---|
| SA -5.5 | 217.5 |
The History
Teams with 3-1 Finals lead: 37-1
The only team to blow it: Golden State Warriors (3-1 vs LeBron's Cavs)
All-time playoffs (3-1 lead): 288-15
Scott's Take
Scott: "We're gonna be on the Spurs in the first quarter. It's hard not to like the Spurs in the game. But I have a feeling we are headed back to Madison Square Garden for Game 6 next Tuesday where the Knicks will win the title."
🏒 Stanley Cup Final Game 5: Tonight
Golden Knights at Hurricanes
| Line | Total |
|---|---|
| CAR -152 | 6.5 |
Total moved from 5.5 to 6.5 after four straight overs.
The middle: "Yesterday you could have had over 5.5, now you can have under 6.5"
⚽ WORLD CUP BEGINS TODAY
Brad Thomas joins for a full preview
The Format
- 48 nations (expanded from 32)
- 12 groups of 4
- Top 2 + best 8 third-place teams advance to Round of 32
- Hosted by USA, Canada, Mexico
Brad's Key Insight
Brad: "Fifty percent of teams with two points will advance to the knockout stages. Teams like South Africa and Bosnia know if they draw two matches, there's a real possibility they make the next round. Why would you open up? Why would you not just bunker down?"
Translation: Expect more draws.
⚽ USA vs Paraguay (Tomorrow)
At SoFi Stadium
USA to reach Round of 16: -135
Brad's concern: Defense. "They let Belgium put five past them. They've just let teams score on them."
But: "They're going to advance from their group because they get the benefit of playing in one of the easier groups."
Brad's Play
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| USA team total over 1.5 | +124 |
Brad: "When they get on domestic soil, they hit that next gear. Christian Pulisic hasn't played that well in Milan, but just when he becomes Captain America, his levels change."
Fun Bet
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| USA corners over 4.5 | -122 |
| USA corners over 5.5 | +146 |
| USA corners over 7.5 | +460 |
Brad: "The United States is going to be coming with like a bat out of hell. They're gonna just be firing, firing, firing away."
⚽ Today: Mexico vs South Africa
Brad's Play
| Bet | Notes |
|---|---|
| Mexico to win + under 3.5 goals | ~-110 |
Brad: "Mexico has actually been playing good. They're finally coming to their own in an attacking sense and we know they're going to defend well."
⚽ Tournament Futures
To Win the World Cup
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Spain | +450 |
| France | +500 |
| England | +600 |
| Brazil | +700 |
| Netherlands | 17/1 |
Brad's pick: France
Golden Boot (Most Goals)
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | +600 |
Golden Ball (Player of Tournament)
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Michael Olise | +650 (was 50/1) |
Brad: "I wrote a column two months ago — Michael Olise to win the golden ball, fifty to one. Look at his price now. Know how sick I am? I was writing for a European company and had no access to that number."
⚽ Brad's Group Winner Parlays
| Parlay | Odds |
|---|---|
| Spain + England + Brazil to win groups | +111 |
| Spain + England + France to win groups | — |
Brad: "Spain and England are the two top dogs. A team like France might play around with their food a little too much. England has elite defense — they'll probably keep clean sheets in every match."
⚽ The Mathematician's Pick
Joachim Klement — German mathematician who correctly picked the last 3 World Cup winners (Germany 2014, France 2018, Argentina 2022).
His pick for 2026: Netherlands (17/1)
Brad: "I don't think the Netherlands are going to win this tournament. I'm not sitting here going to rely on Cody Gakpo, Donyell Malen, and Memphis Depay as my leaders in attack."
📅 Coming Up
Thursday (Tonight)
- World Cup: Mexico vs South Africa, opening ceremony
- NHL: Stanley Cup Final Game 5
Friday
- World Cup: USA vs Paraguay (SoFi)
- Pod: AJ Hoffman — Spurs G5 preview + UFC Freedom 250
Saturday
- NBA: Finals Game 5
Sunday
- UFC: Freedom 250 (White House lawn!)
MAJOR announcements coming soon! 👀
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