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# Thursday, June 11th, 2026
- URL: https://www.bettorday.com/thursday-june-11th-2026/
- Published: 2026-06-11T10:00:48.000Z
- Updated: 2026-06-11T10:00:49.000Z
- Author: Scott Seidenberg
- Tags: Newsletter

## Greatest NBA Finals Comeback & World Cup Preview

*Scott Seidenberg recaps the Knicks historic 29 point comeback win over the Spurs in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Brad Thomas previews the World Cup with Best Bets!*

[![CTA Image](https://storage.ghost.io/c/3d/8b/3d8b18a7-5597-46d3-a5fc-54ba849c80c9/content/images/2025/09/bettor-days-18.jpg)](https://bleav.com/shows/bettor-day/?ref=bettorday.com) 

Listen to today's Podcast episode and don't forget to subscribe! 

[Listen ](https://bleav.com/shows/bettor-day/?ref=bettorday.com) 

## 🏀 GREATEST COMEBACK IN NBA FINALS HISTORY

**Knicks 107, Spurs 106** — New York leads 3-1.

### The Deficit

| When                  | Score | Deficit     |
| --------------------- | ----- | ----------- |
| 9:27 left in Q3       | 81-52 | **Down 29** |
| Live ML at that point | —     | **+2500**   |

### The Hero: OG Anunoby

| Stat       | Line                             |
| ---------- | -------------------------------- |
| Points     | **33**                           |
| FG         | 10-15                            |
| 3PT        | **7-9**                          |
| The Winner | **Tip-in with 1.2 seconds left** |

**Scott:** "I'm still speechless. Like I really am speechless."

---

## 🏀 First Quarter System Update

| System                 | New Record |
| ---------------------- | ---------- |
| Team off loss, favored | **22-9-1** |

### The Spurs 1Q Dominance Continues

| Spurs Q1    | Record     |
| ----------- | ---------- |
| Postseason  | **15-5-2** |
| ATS         | 12-7       |
| Last 10 ATS | **9-1**    |

**Both Systems align for Game 5\. BEST BET: Spurs 1st Quarter ML**

---

## 🏀 NBA Finals MVP Odds

| Player            | Odds      |
| ----------------- | --------- |
| Jalen Brunson     | **\-140** |
| Victor Wembanyama | +350      |
| **OG Anunoby**    | **+430**  |

---

## 🏀 Game 5 Preview (Saturday)

### Knicks at Spurs

| Line    | Total |
| ------- | ----- |
| SA -5.5 | 217.5 |

### The History

**Teams with 3-1 Finals lead:** 37-1

**The only team to blow it:** Golden State Warriors (3-1 vs LeBron's Cavs)

**All-time playoffs (3-1 lead):** 288-15

### Scott's Take

**Scott:** "We're gonna be on the Spurs in the first quarter. It's hard not to like the Spurs in the game. But I have a feeling we are headed back to Madison Square Garden for Game 6 next Tuesday where the Knicks will win the title."

---

## 🏒 Stanley Cup Final Game 5: Tonight

### Golden Knights at Hurricanes

| Line     | Total   |
| -------- | ------- |
| CAR -152 | **6.5** |

**Total moved from 5.5 to 6.5** after four straight overs.

**The middle:** "Yesterday you could have had over 5.5, now you can have under 6.5"

---

## ⚽ WORLD CUP BEGINS TODAY

*Brad Thomas joins for a full preview*

### The Format

- **48 nations** (expanded from 32)
- 12 groups of 4
- Top 2 + best 8 third-place teams advance to Round of 32
- Hosted by USA, Canada, Mexico

### Brad's Key Insight

**Brad:** "Fifty percent of teams with two points will advance to the knockout stages. Teams like South Africa and Bosnia know if they draw two matches, there's a real possibility they make the next round. Why would you open up? Why would you not just bunker down?"

**Translation:** Expect more draws.

---

## ⚽ USA vs Paraguay (Tomorrow)

### At SoFi Stadium

**USA to reach Round of 16:** \-135

**Brad's concern:** Defense. "They let Belgium put five past them. They've just let teams score on them."

**But:** "They're going to advance from their group because they get the benefit of playing in one of the easier groups."

### Brad's Play

| Bet                         | Odds     |
| --------------------------- | -------- |
| **USA team total over 1.5** | **+124** |

**Brad:** "When they get on domestic soil, they hit that next gear. Christian Pulisic hasn't played that well in Milan, but just when he becomes Captain America, his levels change."

### Fun Bet

| Bet                  | Odds  |
| -------------------- | ----- |
| USA corners over 4.5 | \-122 |
| USA corners over 5.5 | +146  |
| USA corners over 7.5 | +460  |

**Brad:** "The United States is going to be coming with like a bat out of hell. They're gonna just be firing, firing, firing away."

---

## ⚽ Today: Mexico vs South Africa

### Brad's Play

| Bet                                 | Notes  |
| ----------------------------------- | ------ |
| **Mexico to win + under 3.5 goals** | \~-110 |

**Brad:** "Mexico has actually been playing good. They're finally coming to their own in an attacking sense and we know they're going to defend well."

---

## ⚽ Tournament Futures

### To Win the World Cup

| Team        | Odds |
| ----------- | ---- |
| Spain       | +450 |
| France      | +500 |
| England     | +600 |
| Brazil      | +700 |
| Netherlands | 17/1 |

**Brad's pick:** France

### Golden Boot (Most Goals)

| Player        | Odds     |
| ------------- | -------- |
| Kylian Mbappé | **+600** |

### Golden Ball (Player of Tournament)

| Player        | Odds                |
| ------------- | ------------------- |
| Michael Olise | **+650** (was 50/1) |

**Brad:** "I wrote a column two months ago — Michael Olise to win the golden ball, fifty to one. Look at his price now. Know how sick I am? I was writing for a European company and had no access to that number."

---

## ⚽ Brad's Group Winner Parlays

| Parlay                                 | Odds     |
| -------------------------------------- | -------- |
| Spain + England + Brazil to win groups | **+111** |
| Spain + England + France to win groups | —        |

**Brad:** "Spain and England are the two top dogs. A team like France might play around with their food a little too much. England has elite defense — they'll probably keep clean sheets in every match."

---

## ⚽ The Mathematician's Pick

**Joachim Klement** — German mathematician who correctly picked the last 3 World Cup winners (Germany 2014, France 2018, Argentina 2022).

**His pick for 2026:** Netherlands (17/1)

**Brad:** "I don't think the Netherlands are going to win this tournament. I'm not sitting here going to rely on Cody Gakpo, Donyell Malen, and Memphis Depay as my leaders in attack."

---

## 📅 Coming Up

### Thursday (Tonight)

- **World Cup:** Mexico vs South Africa, opening ceremony
- **NHL:** Stanley Cup Final Game 5

### Friday

- **World Cup:** USA vs Paraguay (SoFi)
- **Pod:** AJ Hoffman — Spurs G5 preview + UFC Freedom 250

### Saturday

- **NBA:** Finals Game 5

### Sunday

- **UFC:** Freedom 250 (White House lawn!)

## MAJOR announcements coming soon! 👀

---

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