World Cup Quarters, NBA Summer League & MLB Action
Scott Seidenberg previews France vs Morocco in today's World Cup Quarterfinal action. The NBA Summer League begins today with a #1 vs #2 showdown and Jake Hasan previews today's MLB slate and the MLB draft.
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⚽ QUARTERFINALS BEGIN: FRANCE vs MOROCCO
The Odds (4 PM ET, Foxboro)
| Market | Line |
|---|---|
| France to advance | -430 |
| Morocco to advance | +320 |
| France (3-way) | -175 |
| Morocco (3-way) | +550 |
| Draw | +280 |
The history: France beat Morocco 2-0 in the 2022 World Cup semifinal.
⚽ THE EARLY PAYOUT MARKET
FanDuel's "2-Up" Moneyline
How it works: Your bet pays out IN FULL if your team leads by two goals at any point in 90 minutes plus stoppage time — regardless of whether they go on to draw or lose.
| Team | 2-Up Odds |
|---|---|
| France | -185 |
| Morocco | +500 |
Scott: "Imagine having that bet on Egypt against Argentina. Egypt's up two goals — you win your bet at way more than +500, and it didn't matter that they went on to lose. Very interesting market."
⚽ Scott's Play: France Team Total Over 1.5 (-132)
The Case
France's goals this World Cup:
| Opponent | Goals |
|---|---|
| Senegal | 3 |
| Iraq | 3 |
| Norway | 4 |
| Sweden | 3 |
| Paraguay (R16) | 1 (Mbappé penalty) |
The counter: Morocco has allowed 2+ goals only ONCE — a meaningless 4-2 win over Haiti.
Scott: "Do I go back to the well? They're certainly talented enough. Give me France over 1.5 goals."
⚽ THE MOROCCO MATH: Futures vs Rollover
27/1 to Win It All — Or Roll the Moneylines?
Scott's back-of-envelope:
- +320 to beat France
- ~+250 vs the Spain/Belgium winner
- That rollover = roughly 10/1 or 11/1 just to reach the final
The decision: "At that point, you don't have to bet the final — just take your 11/1"
🏀 VEGAS SUMMER LEAGUE BEGINS TODAY
The ROY Market Keeps Flipping
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | +250 (back on top) |
| Darryn Peterson | +270 |
| AJ Dybantsa | +470 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | +500 |
Scott: "It's gone back and forth between Boozer and Peterson. We expect this market to fluctuate every day — it's reactionary."
Tonight's Marquee Matchups
Wizards vs Jazz (JAZ -1.5, total 186.5):
- AJ Dybantsa vs Darryn Peterson — first look since Kansas beat BYU (Peterson 18, DeBanza 17)
Warriors vs Mavericks:
- Dusty May's Mavs (Morez Johnson) vs Yaxel Lendeborg — Michigan reunion
Kings vs Clippers:
- Darius Acuff Jr. vs Keaton Wagler
⚾ MLB NOTES
Dylan Cease Flirts With History
The line: No-hitter into the NINTH inning — Blue Jays 10, Giants 0. Lost the bid in the 9th.
Verlander Announces Retirement
Justin Verlander: This will be his final season.
⚾ JAKE'S THURSDAY CARD
The Full Slate
1. Braves-Pirates OVER 9
Jake: "The Braves have been ice cold — the Marlins and Phillies both breathing down Atlanta's neck. Bryce Elder has completely regressed. Two pitchers who have trouble keeping the ball in the yard."
2. Orioles ML (-126) + Orioles Team Total Over
Jake: "Continue to fade David Peterson. He was absolutely brutal last time out. He has not been much better as a Cub than he was as a Met."
3. White Sox ML (~pick) — Avoid the Sweep
Jake: "A classic spot I've been playing all season. Dropped the first two to Boston, now avoiding the sweep before the A's come to town."
4. Marlins ML (+120) — Home Dogs
Jake: "Keep fading the Mariners. Seattle's ice cold on the road. Plus money on the Marlins playing this well is good value."
5. Phillies-Reds OVER 9.5
Jake: "Great American Small Park — we know how the ball flies. Fading Luzardo AND Brady Singer."
6. Cardinals ML — Home Dogs
Jake: "Andre Pallante has been maybe the best starter on the staff. Back St. Louis for the series win."
7. Angels-Rangers First 5 UNDER
Jake: "Eovaldi's going deeper into games. Detmers is auditioning for new teams — maybe his last Angels start. Both pitching well."
8. Diamondbacks value + OVER 8.5 (-120)
Jake: "Merrill Kelly is someone I trust more than Griffin Canning, but neither has been strong lately. The over gets there quick."
⚾ JAKE'S FUTURES CORNER
The AL Is Wide Open
Jake: "I want NOTHING to do with the Yankees. I'm starting to believe the Rays are more and more of a contender. I don't know that they win the World Series — the Dodgers exist — but this Rays team could win the pennant."
The MVP Value: Kurtz +550
Jake: "Yordan Alvarez -155 is still just DHing — the only DH we've ever seen win MVP is Shohei Ohtani. If Alvarez slips just a little, Kurtz at +550 is where the value is."
Note: Kurtz left Wednesday's game with an illness.
⚾ MLB DRAFT PREVIEW (This Weekend)
Jake's Read: Don't Buy the Smoke
| Prospect | Status |
|---|---|
| Grady Emerson (HS) | New favorite for 1.1 |
| Roch Cholowski | Second favorite — Jake's pick |
| Vahn Lackey (Georgia Tech) | +350 value play |
Jake: "This is smoke and mirrors. The White Sox know what they're gonna do. Cholowski's been the top prospect for years and people are just getting bored. And if they're truly off him, it's Vaughn Lackey — the White Sox window is opening NOW, and a college hitter gets to the majors faster than a high school prospect."
📅 Coming Up
Today
- World Cup: France vs Morocco (4 PM ET)
- Summer League: Dybantsa vs Peterson headliner in Vegas
Tomorrow
- World Cup: Spain vs Belgium preview
- AJ Hoffman: UFC preview — McGregor vs Holloway 2 Saturday
- Off the Board: Colby & Jake stream
Saturday
- World Cup: England vs Norway, Argentina vs Switzerland
- UFC: The return of Conor McGregor
- MLB Draft
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