> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.bettorday.com/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # NFL Prop Shop - URL: https://www.bettorday.com/nfl-prop-shop/ - Published: 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z - Updated: 2026-10-25T10:00:00.000Z - Author: Bettor Day Staff - Tags: Free Play, NFL ## Week 7 · October 25th *David Bearman joins the Bettor Day Podcast every single Wednesday and each week gives out a ton of player props, not only on our pod, but on his podcast as well,* [*Betting w/Bearman*](https://bleav.com/shows/betting-with-bearman/?ref=bettorday.com)*. The following props were sent out earlier in the week to Bettor Day Premium members, as well as featured in the Betting w/Bearman newsletter.* ### SF QB Brock Purdy over 20.5 completions \-105, Draftkings The Atlanta Falcons may have the fourth-best rush defense in the NFL, but their pass defense is 28th, allowing 252.0 yards per game. Through six games, every QB has gone over his completions prop vs. the Falcons, with an average of 26.5 per game. Last week, Caleb Williams had 18 completions at halftime. Teams now know how to beat the Falcons defense - throw on them. While Brock Purdy has only gone over 20.5 in three of his six games, he hasn't faced a defense that is this good against the run and this poor against the pass. --- ### CAR QB Bryce Young over 253.5 passing yards \-113, DraftKings Young has 280+ in all five games this season, leading the NFL in yards per game at 309.8\. Meanwhile, as good as the Bucs' rush defense is (2nd), the pass defense is the opposite (19th), allowing 224.0 yards per game. We've seen Aaron Rodgers (253), Dak Prescott (316), Deshaun Watson (238), and Joe Burrow (254) all hit the overs vs. the Buccaneers this season. Baker Mayfield is back, which in theory, should allow the Bucs to score too, making this a higher-scoring game than without him. --- ### NYG WR Malik Nabers over 68.5 receiving yards \-113, FanDuel Nabers has gone for 113, 121, and 165 yards over his last three games on a combined 42 targets. J.J. McCarthy seemed to get on the same page with Nabers right away, as they connected on 4 passes for 95 yards, just in the 11 minutes McCarthy played. The Texans defense has been a disappointment this season compared to last year — allowing the second-most receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers this season (195.5), including 301 yards to Dallas receivers in Week 4\. The pass defense is 27th in the league, allowing 246 per game. - Week 1: Kincaird (130), Moore (100) - Week 2: Higgins (95), Chase (75) - Week 3: Downs (77), Allen (63) - Week 4: Lamb (189), Pickens (75) - Week 5: Robinson (53) - Week 6: Parker Washington (64) --- ### SEA TE A.J. Barner over 2.5 receptions \-144, DraftKings Opposing TEs average 7.8 catches per gam vs. the Chiefs this season, compared with the NFL average of 5.5\. The Chiefs are allowing just 112.2 WR receiving yards per game, compared with 73.2 to tight ends. Tight ends account for 32.2% of opposing targets against Kansas City, the highest share in the league. Barner has gotten 3+ catches in three of the last four games. --- *David Bearman is a frequent contributor to Bettor Day. You can listen to Dave on the Bettor Day Podcast on Wednesday mornings, as well as the "Betting with Bearman" podcast on the Bleav Podcast Network, and you can watch him on Saturday mornings on SportsGrid. David also serves as a betting analyst for CBS SportsLine. Follow David on X*[*@DavidBearman*](https://twitter.com/DavidBearman?ref=bettorday.com) --- ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/3d/8b/3d8b18a7-5597-46d3-a5fc-54ba849c80c9/content/images/2026/10/Survivor-Cover-1.png) **Dan Rivera and Makenzie Rivers are down to 1 entry in NFL Survivor. Listen to this week's episode of Dan & Macken Survive the NFL to find out where they are risking their contest lives.* [****LISTEN TO THE LATEST EPISODE HERE**](https://bleav.com/shows/bettor-day/episodes/dan-macken-survive-the-nfl-week-7/?ref=bettorday.com) --- *Earlier this week, Evan Daniel of Walter Football joined the Bettor Day Podcast to talk Live Betting.* [*Highly recommend that episode*](https://www.bettorday.com/thursday-october-22nd-2023/) *as you'll learn a new way of watching and betting on games. Here are some Prop Bets Evan likes for Week 7 Sunday.* ### CAR RB Chuba Hubbard under 68.5 Rushing Yards \-114, DraftKings • Tampa Bay run D: 3.4 YPC allowed (#2), 75.5 rush yds/g (#2); RBs get 65.0 yds/g vs TB • Carries 71% of CAR's designed runs (86% last 2 games); averages 85.2 rush yds/g on 4.8 ypc • Risk: his volume (17.8 carries/g) can beat a tough matchup if CAR leads and leans on him. --- ### MIA QB Malik Willis under 183.5 passing yards \-113, DraftKings • NYJ pass D: 5.8 YPA allowed (#5), 185.0 pass yds/g (#4); pressure rate 25.7% (#7) • Willis grades 32.2 under pressure (PFF), 6.5 YPA (#22); averages 169.8 pass yds/g; MIA neutral pass rate 52.3% (#29) • Risk: if MIA falls behind big, the volume goes up late. --- ### CLE TE Harold Fannin Jr under 31.5 receiving yards \-113, DraftKings • Averages 27.7 rec yds/g; 17.1% of targets, 14.2% of air yards • TEN allows 29.2 TE rec yds/g (#2) and 4.4 yds per TE target • Risk: if CLE falls behind and has to throw a lot, his target share (17%) can carry him over. --- *Prices live at time of writing. 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