> ## Content Index
> Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.bettorday.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further.

# NFL Prop Shop: Week 3
- URL: https://www.bettorday.com/nfl-prop-shop-week-3/
- Published: 2026-09-27T10:00:15.000Z
- Updated: 2026-09-27T10:00:14.000Z
- Author: Brandon Kravitz - @BrandonKravitz
- Tags: Free Play, NFL

# Bettor Day NFL Prop Shop

### Week 3 · September 27th

Happy Week 3, Bettor Day family. Brandon Kravitz here, back at it to sort through the best props across the land of sportsbooks and exchanges.

Consider this your weekly Prop Shop. I'll bring you value, great prices, and highly actionable angles.

**0-4 last week** *(still cant believe we lost the Daniel Jones Rushing under in OT)*. Not the ideal start, but it's week 3, and this is a marathon, not a sprint. Let's get back on track.

---

## 1\. SEA WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 99.5 receiving yards

**Seattle at Washington · 1pm Eastern** 

> **100+ receiving yards** +115, Draftkings

Let's just buy this up to JSN hitting triple digits, something he's cleared with ease in each of the first two weeks and in 11 of his last 19 regular-season games.

The player is the easy part. The matchup is plush too. Washington ranks 23rd against opposing wide receivers in yards allowed to the position. Amik Robertson is the only DB on the roster who grades out particularly well, and Seattle likes to move JSN around to find the favorable matchup — between Mike Sainristil and Rasul Douglas, there's plenty to choose from.

Big day coming for the Seahawks star.

---

## 2\. JAX RB Bhayshul Tuten UNDER 54.5 rushing yards

**New England at Jacksonville · 1pm Eastern**

> **Under 54.5 rushing yards** \-125, TheScoreBet

Here's the shape of it: Jacksonville runs as much as almost anybody — 53% of first-down plays, a top-ten rate — and Tuten still hasn't been effective. Volume hasn't rescued him. That's what makes this an under rather than a fade of the workload.

It's unlikely to start working against New England. The Patriots' run defense was one of their superpowers last year and they've carried it straight into this season. They haven't allowed a rusher past 52 yards yet.

If Jacksonville is going to beat New England — and I think they will — they'll have to do it through the air. Don't let the low number scare you off.

---

## 3\. IND WR Josh Downs OVER 4.5 receptions

**Houston at Indianapolis · 1pm Eastern** 

> **Over 4.5 receptions** \-121, DraftKings

Downs stepped up big for the Colts when Alec Pierce went down with an ankle injury on Sunday night, and it isn't a fluke. Per Fantasy Points Data, he ranks No. 1 in the NFL in separation this season — ahead of JSN, Davante Adams, and plenty of other studs. Outside of Jonathan Taylor, Downs may be Indianapolis' most effective weapon, especially over the middle.

This is a step up in class defensively, at least in theory, but Houston's defense hasn't fully rounded into shape. I expect Daniel Jones to get the ball out quickly and look for his best separator early and often.

---

## 4\. KC TE Travis Kelce Anytime TD

**Kansas City at Miami · 1pm Eastern**

> **Anytime TD** — +15o, Fanatics

Rarely does Travis Kelce fly under the radar, but with so much attention on what Kenneth Walker is doing in this offense — rightfully so, it's been incredible — I think people may be sleeping on a Kelce renaissance.

Kelce ranks No. 1 in the NFL in YAC, No. 1 in yards after contact per reception, and fourth in targets. That should travel against a Miami defense that's particularly soft in the middle of the field.

For what it's worth, this is Kelce's fifth meeting with the Dolphins. He's scored in three of the previous four.

---

Good luck. Godspeed. Let’s cash these tickets!

*Brandon Kravitz is a contributor to Bettor Day. A sports media veteran, Brandon works as a betting analyst for Action Network & Rotowire. He is also the host of the Orlando Magic Radio Network. You can follow him* [*@BrandonKravitz*](https://x.com/BrandonKravitz?ref=bettorday.com) *across X, Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube.*

*Prices live at time of writing. Numbers move and props get pulled — re-check before you play, and shop for your number.*

---

New to the Prop Shop? This runs every week of the season. **Premium** members get every play from every Bettor Day contributor in one dashboard; **Insider** gets the models and databases behind them. [**Compare tiers →**](https://bettorday.com/membership/?ref=bettorday.com)

[ Bettor Day Exclusive Sportsbook Promos Promo Codes, Unlocked For You We've partnered with top sportsbooks to bring exclusive sign-up offers to the Bettor Day community. Offers vary by location — **see what's live in your state.** Check Offers In Your State → 21+ • For entertainment purposes only • Please bet responsibly ](https://www.vaultsportshq.com/preferred-books/bettorday?ref=bettorday.com)