Game: Boston Celtics @ Brooklyn Nets
Play: Celtics -4.5 in 1st Half (-112)
My power ratings make this game BOS -11. I like isolating the first half, as the Celtics have been especially good in the 1H (68% of their positive YTD margin has been achieved in the 1H), while the Nets have been especially bad in the 1H (66% of their negative YTD margin has been yielded in the 1H).
Moreover, the Nets have had awful Home Court Advantage historically, especially when they have been bad, which we’ve seen most clearly over the last couple of years.
Over the last two seasons, the Nets are just 42% ATS (27–36) at home, compared to 57% ATS (34–25) on the road.
Since moving to Brooklyn in 2012, the Nets are 47% ATS at home versus 54% ATS on the road.
🎯 Play: Celtics -4.5 in 1st Half (-112)