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Baseball Betting, World Cup Knockout Round & Trench Report Tease

Scott Seidenberg and Jake Hasan talk betting MLB and the World Cup knockout round. Plus a special teaser on NFL futures bets and the Trench Report!

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⚾ SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL: THAT'S BETTING, SUZYN

The Pain

The situation: Sonny Gray no-hitter into the 8th. Yankees-Red Sox. Under 8. Game is 2-0.

The result: Game goes to extras. Red Sox walk off 5-4.

Scott: "That's baseball, Suzyn. That's what happens."

Jake: "That's not even baseball, Suzyn. That's betting, Suzyn.


⚾ Sonny Gray Trade Watch

Since returning from hamstring injury: 8 wins, ERA near 2

Jake: "It's very clear that Sonny Gray is not gonna be part of this Red Sox team much longer. He is really maximizing his stock in the trade market right now."


⚾ YANKEES: THE PROBLEMS

The Offense Without Judge/Stanton/Grisham

TimeframewRC+ Rank
Season#2
June21st
Past Week28th

The standings: Yankees 1 game behind Rays in AL East


But The Rotation...

Scott: "When the Yankees go into the playoffs with a healthy four starters — Max Fried, Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón, Cam Schlitler — how are you betting against that rotation?"

The bullpen: Will Warren, Weathers, Clark Schmidt (returning from IL) could all pitch relief in October.


⚾ American League Futures

Jake: "The American League is a crapshoot. The second favorite is the Mariners, and they're not even leading their own division. Where do we go here?"

TeamOdds
YankeesFavorite
Rangers+950 (Wyatt Langford hurt)

Jake: "Maybe it's as simple as it's just the Yankees."


⚾ NL EAST WATCH

Phillies Closing In

TeamDivision Odds
Braves-195
Phillies+150

Gap: 3 games back

Scott: "This is as short as we've seen the Phillies. I still think it's worth a buy."

Jake: "I don't have a ton of faith in a Don Mattingly-led team to get over the finish line."


⚾ Kyle Schwarber Watch

First to 30 Home Runs

The pace: 60 HR AND single-season strikeout record (as a hitter)

NL MVP odds: 45/1

Shohei Ohtani: -2500 (1.58 ERA in 79.2 IP)


The Annual Conversation

Jake: "It's the annual conversation. We get to the all-star break, people get bored and say, 'Should we start trying to poke holes in Shohei Ohtani's case?' No! Why would you try to do that?"

Scott: "We're gonna have to start creating the MVP Without market. Give me that and then I'll bet Kyle Schwarber."


⚾ Monday MLB Picks

White Sox +110 vs Orioles

Jake: "Anytime you're gonna give me the White Sox at plus money, I'm just gonna do it. Shane Baas and the Orioles have been both as a player and as a team a major disappointment."

Pirates -106 vs Phillies

Jake: "I can't believe we're making Aaron Nola a minus 120 favorite. Has anyone been paying attention to the season that Braxton Ashcraft is having? He's been unbelievable. About 15 cents of value on the Pirates."

Padres vs Cubs

Jake: "Shota Imanaga is a minus 162 favorite. It's 2026. Are we serious? How is anybody laying that kind of price?"


⛳ TRAVELERS CHAMPIONSHIP PLAYOFF

Scheffler vs Hovland — Sudden Death

PlayerOdds
Scottie Scheffler-145
Victor Hovland+120

Both at: -21

Start time: ~9 AM ET

Scott: "Our final conclusion last week with Bearman was Scottie Scheffler's going on the card because you're always going to put Scottie on the card. This course could be one where he puts up a monster number — which is in fact what he did."


⚽ WORLD CUP: ROUND OF 32

Canada Advances

Result: Canada 1, South Africa 0 (stoppage time goal)

First team to Round of 16.


⚽ Monday's Matches (To Advance)

MatchFavoriteDog
Brazil vs JapanBRA -330+250
Germany vs ParaguayGER -850+550
Netherlands vs MoroccoNED -166+136

⚽ The Group Stage Numbers

Courtesy of John Ewing (MGM)

BetResult
Favorites46 wins
Underdogs6 wins
Draws20
$100 on every draw+$2,100
Overs38-34
Both teams to score39 of 72 (54%)

Jake: "In the group stage, we just kept seeing draw after draw. Is there any reason to think that won't continue? Maybe play some regulation draws."


⚽ Jake on Futures

France: 3/1 to win it all

Jake: "Every time I watch this France team, they're just so clearly far and away the best. They have multiple guys scoring multiple goals. Should we just be betting this?"


🏈 NFL TRENCH REPORT PREVIEW

The System That Crushed Last Year

TimeframeRecord
Week 5-17 Top 5 Mismatches51-19 SU (13 outright dog wins)
Week 8-17 Closest Matchups (dogs)20-12-1 ATS (12 outright wins)

🏈 2026 Trench Strength of Schedule

MOST DIFFICULT Pass Rush Schedule

  1. San Francisco 49ers
  2. Carolina Panthers
  3. Washington Commanders
  4. Arizona Cardinals
  5. Las Vegas Raiders

EASIEST Pass Rush Schedule

  1. Minnesota Vikings
  2. Cleveland Browns
  3. Atlanta Falcons
  4. Miami Dolphins
  5. Denver Broncos

MOST DIFFICULT Run Defense Schedule

  1. Las Vegas Raiders
  2. Los Angeles Chargers
  3. Cincinnati Bengals
  4. Buffalo Bills
  5. Carolina Panthers

EASIEST Run Defense Schedule

  1. Detroit Lions
  2. Minnesota Vikings
  3. New Orleans Saints
  4. Philadelphia Eagles
  5. Washington Commanders

🏈 The Takeaways

Carolina: FADE

Appears in BOTH most difficult lists.

Jake: "Carolina's a team we have to fade again this year."

Minnesota: BUY

Appears in BOTH easiest lists.

Scott: "The Minnesota Vikings will be better than what people think."


📱 BettorDay App Update

Launch: Very soon

For: Insider and Premium members

Features: All tools from betterday.com on mobile + push notifications

Also coming: Subscription tier changes


📋 Today's Plays

MLB

BetOddsNotes
White Sox ML+110Jake: "Any time plus money, I'm taking it"
Pirates ML-106Ashcraft having a great year

Golf

BetOddsNotes
Scheffler playoff-145Bearman called it

World Cup

BetNotes
Regulation drawsGroup stage: $2,100 profit
France 3/1"So clearly the best"

Futures

BetNotes
Phillies NL East +1503 games back, closing in
Vikings win total overEasiest trench schedule

📅 Coming Up

Today

This Week

Coming Soon


📅 Coming Up

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We sent an email out yesterday detailing the discount for Bettor Day subscribers. Check out the details HERE.


📱 BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: BETTOR DAY APP COMING!

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Launch: Mid July — August 1st at the latest

Features

Scott: "I think it's gonna be a real game changer when it comes to doing all your handicapping, checking your live odds and scores, and everything you need to become a better bettor."

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