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# Monday, June 29th, 2026
- URL: https://www.bettorday.com/monday-june-29th-2026/
- Published: 2026-06-29T10:00:12.000Z
- Updated: 2026-06-29T10:00:17.000Z
- Author: Scott Seidenberg
- Tags: Newsletter

## Baseball Betting, World Cup Knockout Round & Trench Report Tease

*Scott Seidenberg and Jake Hasan talk betting MLB and the World Cup knockout round. Plus a special teaser on NFL futures bets and the Trench Report!* 

[![CTA Image](https://storage.ghost.io/c/3d/8b/3d8b18a7-5597-46d3-a5fc-54ba849c80c9/content/images/2025/09/bettor-days-18.jpg)](https://bleav.com/shows/bettor-day/?ref=bettorday.com) 

Listen to today's Podcast episode and don't forget to subscribe! 

[Listen ](https://bleav.com/shows/bettor-day/?ref=bettorday.com) 

## ⚾ SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL: THAT'S BETTING, SUZYN

### The Pain

**The situation:** Sonny Gray no-hitter into the 8th. Yankees-Red Sox. Under 8\. Game is 2-0.

**The result:** Game goes to extras. Red Sox walk off 5-4.

**Scott:** "That's baseball, Suzyn. That's what happens."

**Jake:** "That's not even baseball, Suzyn. That's betting, Suzyn. 

---

## ⚾ Sonny Gray Trade Watch

**Since returning from hamstring injury:** 8 wins, ERA near 2

**Jake:** "It's very clear that Sonny Gray is not gonna be part of this Red Sox team much longer. He is really maximizing his stock in the trade market right now."

---

## ⚾ YANKEES: THE PROBLEMS

### The Offense Without Judge/Stanton/Grisham

| Timeframe | wRC+ Rank |
| --------- | --------- |
| Season    | **#2**    |
| June      | 21st      |
| Past Week | **28th**  |

**The standings:** Yankees 1 game behind Rays in AL East

---

### But The Rotation...

**Scott:** "When the Yankees go into the playoffs with a healthy four starters — Max Fried, Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón, Cam Schlitler — how are you betting against that rotation?"

**The bullpen:** Will Warren, Weathers, Clark Schmidt (returning from IL) could all pitch relief in October.

---

## ⚾ American League Futures

**Jake:** "The American League is a crapshoot. The second favorite is the Mariners, and they're not even leading their own division. Where do we go here?"

| Team    | Odds                       |
| ------- | -------------------------- |
| Yankees | Favorite                   |
| Rangers | +950 (Wyatt Langford hurt) |

**Jake:** "Maybe it's as simple as it's just the Yankees."

---

## ⚾ NL EAST WATCH

### Phillies Closing In

| Team         | Division Odds |
| ------------ | ------------- |
| Braves       | \-195         |
| **Phillies** | **+150**      |

**Gap:** 3 games back

**Scott:** "This is as short as we've seen the Phillies. I still think it's worth a buy."

**Jake:** "I don't have a ton of faith in a Don Mattingly-led team to get over the finish line."

---

## ⚾ Kyle Schwarber Watch

### First to 30 Home Runs

**The pace:** 60 HR AND single-season strikeout record (as a hitter)

**NL MVP odds:** 45/1

**Shohei Ohtani:** \-2500 (1.58 ERA in 79.2 IP)

---

### The Annual Conversation

**Jake:** "It's the annual conversation. We get to the all-star break, people get bored and say, 'Should we start trying to poke holes in Shohei Ohtani's case?' No! Why would you try to do that?"

**Scott:** "We're gonna have to start creating the MVP Without market. Give me that and then I'll bet Kyle Schwarber."

---

## ⚾ Monday MLB Picks

### White Sox +110 vs Orioles

**Jake:** "Anytime you're gonna give me the White Sox at plus money, I'm just gonna do it. Shane Baas and the Orioles have been both as a player and as a team a major disappointment."

### Pirates -106 vs Phillies

**Jake:** "I can't believe we're making Aaron Nola a minus 120 favorite. Has anyone been paying attention to the season that Braxton Ashcraft is having? He's been unbelievable. About 15 cents of value on the Pirates."

### Padres vs Cubs

**Jake:** "Shota Imanaga is a minus 162 favorite. It's 2026\. Are we serious? How is anybody laying that kind of price?"

---

## ⛳ TRAVELERS CHAMPIONSHIP PLAYOFF

### Scheffler vs Hovland — Sudden Death

| Player                | Odds      |
| --------------------- | --------- |
| **Scottie Scheffler** | **\-145** |
| Victor Hovland        | +120      |

**Both at:** \-21

**Start time:** \~9 AM ET

**Scott:** "Our final conclusion last week with Bearman was Scottie Scheffler's going on the card because you're always going to put Scottie on the card. This course could be one where he puts up a monster number — which is in fact what he did."

---

## ⚽ WORLD CUP: ROUND OF 32

### Canada Advances

**Result:** Canada 1, South Africa 0 (stoppage time goal)

**First team to Round of 16.**

---

## ⚽ Monday's Matches (To Advance)

| Match                  | Favorite | Dog  |
| ---------------------- | -------- | ---- |
| Brazil vs Japan        | BRA -330 | +250 |
| Germany vs Paraguay    | GER -850 | +550 |
| Netherlands vs Morocco | NED -166 | +136 |

---

## ⚽ The Group Stage Numbers

### Courtesy of John Ewing (MGM)

| Bet                    | Result         |
| ---------------------- | -------------- |
| Favorites              | 46 wins        |
| Underdogs              | 6 wins         |
| **Draws**              | **20**         |
| **$100 on every draw** | **+$2,100**    |
| Overs                  | 38-34          |
| Both teams to score    | 39 of 72 (54%) |

**Jake:** "In the group stage, we just kept seeing draw after draw. Is there any reason to think that won't continue? Maybe play some regulation draws."

---

## ⚽ Jake on Futures

**France:** 3/1 to win it all

**Jake:** "Every time I watch this France team, they're just so clearly far and away the best. They have multiple guys scoring multiple goals. Should we just be betting this?"

---

## 🏈 NFL TRENCH REPORT PREVIEW

### The System That Crushed Last Year

| Timeframe                         | Record                              |
| --------------------------------- | ----------------------------------- |
| Week 5-17 Top 5 Mismatches        | **51-19 SU** (13 outright dog wins) |
| Week 8-17 Closest Matchups (dogs) | **20-12-1 ATS** (12 outright wins)  |

---

## 🏈 2026 Trench Strength of Schedule

### MOST DIFFICULT Pass Rush Schedule

1. San Francisco 49ers
2. **Carolina Panthers**
3. Washington Commanders
4. Arizona Cardinals
5. Las Vegas Raiders

### EASIEST Pass Rush Schedule

1. **Minnesota Vikings**
2. Cleveland Browns
3. Atlanta Falcons
4. Miami Dolphins
5. Denver Broncos

---

### MOST DIFFICULT Run Defense Schedule

1. Las Vegas Raiders
2. Los Angeles Chargers
3. Cincinnati Bengals
4. Buffalo Bills
5. **Carolina Panthers**

### EASIEST Run Defense Schedule

1. Detroit Lions
2. **Minnesota Vikings**
3. New Orleans Saints
4. Philadelphia Eagles
5. Washington Commanders

---

## 🏈 The Takeaways

### Carolina: FADE

**Appears in BOTH most difficult lists.**

**Jake:** "Carolina's a team we have to fade again this year."

### Minnesota: BUY

**Appears in BOTH easiest lists.**

**Scott:** "The Minnesota Vikings will be better than what people think."

---

## 📱 BettorDay App Update

**Launch:** Very soon

**For:** Insider and Premium members

**Features:** All tools from betterday.com on mobile + push notifications

**Also coming:** Subscription tier changes

---

## 📋 Today's Plays

### MLB

| Bet              | Odds  | Notes                                      |
| ---------------- | ----- | ------------------------------------------ |
| **White Sox ML** | +110  | Jake: "Any time plus money, I'm taking it" |
| **Pirates ML**   | \-106 | Ashcraft having a great year               |

### Golf

| Bet                   | Odds  | Notes             |
| --------------------- | ----- | ----------------- |
| **Scheffler playoff** | \-145 | Bearman called it |

### World Cup

| Bet                  | Notes                      |
| -------------------- | -------------------------- |
| **Regulation draws** | Group stage: $2,100 profit |
| **France 3/1**       | "So clearly the best"      |

### Futures

| Bet                        | Notes                    |
| -------------------------- | ------------------------ |
| **Phillies NL East +150**  | 3 games back, closing in |
| **Vikings win total over** | Easiest trench schedule  |

---

## 📅 Coming Up

### Today

- **Golf:** Travelers Championship playoff (Scheffler vs Hovland)
- **World Cup:** Brazil vs Japan, Germany vs Paraguay, Netherlands vs Morocco
- **MLB:** Full Monday slate

### This Week

- **July 4th:** Full baseball slate
- **Off the Board:** Wednesday/Friday streams

### Coming Soon

- **BettorDay App:** Launch imminent
- **Football Show:** Coming this fall on YouTube

---

## 📅 Coming Up

### Fezzik's Betting Boot Camp

We sent an email out yesterday detailing the discount for Bettor Day subscribers. Check out the details [**HERE.**](https://www.bettorday.com/email/ec03eb30-0eba-4d06-b7ea-46001288938b/)

---

## 📱 BIG ANNOUNCEMENT: BETTOR DAY APP COMING!

### Apple App Store + Google Play Store

**Launch:** Mid July — August 1st at the latest

### Features

- **Push notifications:** Picks delivered directly to your phone
- **Game Centers:** All sports
- **Football HQ's:** Brand new for the season
- **Everything from BettorDay.com** In one all-inclusive app

**Scott:** "I think it's gonna be a real game changer when it comes to doing all your handicapping, checking your live odds and scores, and everything you need to become a better bettor."

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