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# Monday, July 6th, 2026
- URL: https://www.bettorday.com/monday-july-6th-2026/
- Published: 2026-07-06T10:00:27.000Z
- Updated: 2026-07-06T10:00:26.000Z
- Author: Scott Seidenberg
- Tags: Newsletter

## World Cup Drama

*Scott Seidenberg recaps yesterday's World Cup action with the drama and excitement we saw from Mexico / England. Plus the US got great news about one of its key players for tonight's game vs Belgium. Plus the latest from NBA Summer League action and a day baseball best bet.*

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## ⚽ ENGLAND SURVIVES AZTECA THRILLER

### England 3, Mexico 2

**The setting:** Estadio Azteca — where Mexico had NEVER lost a World Cup game.

### How It Unfolded

| Minute  | Event                                              |
| ------- | -------------------------------------------------- |
| 36'     | Jude Bellingham goal (1-0)                         |
| 38'     | **Bellingham again** (2-0)                         |
| \~42'   | Mexico pulls one back (2-1) — 3 goals in 6 minutes |
| **54'** | **ENGLAND RED CARD** (Jarell Quansah sent off)     |
| 60'     | Harry Kane penalty after VAR (3-1)                 |
| 69'     | Mexico penalty (3-2)                               |
| 90'+    | England survives corner barrage with 10 men        |

**Scott:** "It was a drunk game. Everything from the goals, the penalties, the drama of playing down to 10 men. One of the best, most entertaining matches of this World Cup."

---

## ⚽ NORWAY SHOCKS BRAZIL

### Norway 2, Brazil 1

**Erling Haaland:** 2 goals (79' and 90')

**The history:**

- Norway's FIRST quarterfinal ever
- Brazil's earliest World Cup exit since 1990

**Next up:** Norway vs England in the quarterfinals.

---

## ⚽ BALOGUN BAN RESCINDED

### The USA Gets Its Striker Back

**FIFA's ruling:** Balogun's one-match ban is suspended — he's on probation for a year instead. He PLAYS tonight vs Belgium.

---

### The Reactions

**Belgium coach Rudi Garcia:** "I didn't know that at the World Cup, the 5th of July is actually the first of April. It's April Fool's Day."

**USA coach Mauricio Pochettino:** "We were punished enough against Bosnia-Herzegovina to play with 10 men for 35 minutes on a decision that was completely unfair. It's 99.9% that we all agree it was an unfair card."

---

### The Precedent

**Scott:** "Before people go crazy — there's precedent for this. Cristiano Ronaldo received a red card before the World Cup that would have suspended him for the first two group stage games. FIFA stepped in, gave him a probationary period, and suspended the match ban. This was a similar decision."

---

## ⚽ TONIGHT: USA vs BELGIUM

### The Odds

| Market             | Line      |
| ------------------ | --------- |
| USA to advance     | **\-116** |
| Belgium to advance | \-106     |
| USA (3-way)        | +160      |
| Belgium (3-way)    | +170      |
| Draw               | +240      |

**The venue:** Seattle — "One of the best soccer crowds we have. Massive home field advantage."

---

### Scott's Best Bet

**BTTS + Over 2.5 goals (including extra time) — parlayed at -135**

**Scott:** "Read the fine print. At one book, this bet was 90 minutes only. The way I'm doing it on FanDuel — parlaying both legs INCLUDING extra time — if it's 1-1 going into extra time and somebody scores, you cash."

### The Other Angles

| Bet                            | Odds | Notes                   |
| ------------------------------ | ---- | ----------------------- |
| **USA TT over 1.5**            | +110 | Cashed in EVERY WC game |
| **Balogun anytime (90 min)**   | +170 | The betting favorite    |
| **Balogun anytime (incl. ET)** | +150 | The narrative bet       |

**Scott:** "I jokingly tweeted Balogun anytime scorer would be the most popular bet tonight"

---

## ⚽ TODAY: PORTUGAL vs SPAIN

### The Iberian Derby — AT&T Stadium, Arlington

| Market              | Line  |
| ------------------- | ----- |
| Spain to advance    | \-220 |
| Portugal to advance | +178  |
| Spain (3-way)       | \-115 |
| Portugal (3-way)    | +310  |
| Draw                | +260  |

---

## ⚽ GOLDEN BOOT RACE: THREE-WAY TIE

### All at 7 Goals

| Player            | Odds |
| ----------------- | ---- |
| **Kylian Mbappé** | Even |
| Leo Messi         | +165 |
| Erling Haaland    | +700 |

### How to Handicap It

**Scott:** "Messi and Argentina have a game in hand — they still have to play their Round of 16 game. But France is the favorite to win it all, so Mbappé is favored to play a quarterfinal, semifinal, AND final. And for Haaland — if Norway is eliminated by England, is that it?"

**Tournament odds:** France +175, Argentina +450, England +500

---

## 🏀 SUMMER LEAGUE UNDERWAY

### Darryn Peterson Debuts

**The line:** 28 points on 11-21 shooting in 27 minutes (Jazz beat Hawks 103-102 in OT)

### Rookie of the Year Odds

| Player              | Odds     |
| ------------------- | -------- |
| Cameron Boozer      | +250     |
| Darryn Peterson     | +320     |
| AJ Dybantsa         | +430     |
| **Yaxel Lendeborg** | **25/1** |

---

### Scott's Flyer: Lendeborg 25/1

**Scott:** "I was seeing clips of Lendeborg for the Warriors in the California Classic — a couple of blocks, 3-of-5 from three. In a system playing alongside Steph Curry, he's going to have opportunities. He might START as a rookie under Steve Kerr. I think it's a good flyer at 25/1."

**Coming Thursday:** Vegas Summer League begins — Mackenzie joins this week to talk Summer League betting.

**LeBron watch:** Still no announcement, but "we fully expect it to be the Cleveland Cavaliers."

---

## ⚾ TODAY: PHILLIES AT ROYALS (DAY GAME)

### The Line

**Phillies -185** (Cristopher Sanchez: 10-3, 2.00 ERA)

**Total:** 8.5 (+102 over)

### THE JARRING SPLITS

**Cristopher Sanchez, Home vs Road:**

| Split                    | Starts | ERA      | Record | Opp BA |
| ------------------------ | ------ | -------- | ------ | ------ |
| **Home (Citizens Bank)** | 11     | **0.86** | 7-1    | .188   |
| **Road**                 | 7      | **3.89** | 3-2    | .297   |

**Scott:** "Some of the most jarring splits we've seen in quite some time. I do NOT want to bet the Phillies in this game. But I don't have it in me to back Noah Cameron at +152 either. **The over might be the play.** Wait to see if it drops to 8 — and shop around."

---

## 📅 Coming Up

### Tonight

- **World Cup:** USA vs Belgium (Seattle) — Balogun PLAYS
- **World Cup:** Portugal vs Spain (Arlington)

### This Week

- **Thursday:** Vegas Summer League begins
- **Mackenzie:** Summer League betting preview
- **Off the Board:** Wednesday/Friday streams

### This Month

- **BettorDay App:** Launch coming
- **Tier structure announcement:** Coming to BettorDay.com
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