World Cup Recap, MLB Best Bets & NBA Futures Market
Scott Seidenberg reacts to Spains win over Argentina and previews tonight's MLB slate with Best Bets! Plus some movement in the NBA Futures market.
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⚽ SPAIN WINS THE WORLD CUP
Spain 1, Argentina 0 (Extra Time)
The winner: Ferran Torres, right at the start of the second half of extra time. He scored again on a breakaway — overturned for offsides by his shoulder and the side of his face.
Spain conceded ONE GOAL the entire tournament.
Scott: "A defensive clinic in a tournament that was a defensive clinic. This run can only be likened to the 2008 Euro, 2010 World Cup, 2012 Euro generational run from Spain. They won the Euro two years ago, now the World Cup. Spain is the best team in the world."
⚽ THE GOLDEN BALL SHOCKER
Rodri Over Messi
The upset by the numbers:
| Player | Pre-Final Odds | Kalshi Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Messi | -1500 | 91% |
| Rodri | 12/1-15/1 | 6% |
Scott: "I tweeted that Messi locked up this award even if they lost — and I truly felt that, because Messi WAS the best player in this tournament. That was a massive upset voted on after Spain lifted the trophy."
The winner: Rodri, Spain's captain, commander of the midfield.
⚽ THE FINAL AWARDS TABLE
| Award | Winner |
|---|---|
| World Cup | Spain |
| Golden Ball | Rodri (the upset) |
| Golden Boot | Kylian Mbappé (scored twice in the consolation game vs England) |
| Golden Glove | Unai Simón (one goal allowed ALL tournament) |
⚾ YANKEES AVOID THE SWEEP
Yankees 2, Dodgers 1 (Sunday Night, G2 of DH)
The hero: Jazz Chisholm — go-ahead homer in the bottom of the 8th.
The context: Both teams ran bullpen games in the nightcap
⚾ TONIGHT'S CARD
Phillies over Dodgers (Scott's bet — already in)
The Sanchez home splits, one more time:
| Split | ERA | Opp BA | HR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home (11 starts) | 0.86 | .188 | 2 in 73 IP |
| Road (9 starts) | 4.97 | .330 | 10 in 54.1 IP |
The stack: Sanchez at home + Dodgers coming off a doubleheader with a spent bullpen + Emmet Sheehan starting. "Give me the Phillies."
The Rest of the Board
| Play | The Case |
|---|---|
| Pirates F5 / F5 over (vs NYY) | Ashcraft 9-3, 3.49 ERA; Pirates road offense hot; fade both Sunday night teams |
| Marlins F5 +0.5 (at HOU) | Ronel Blanco's 2026 debut — no length in rehab starts, fade him early |
| Nationals ML (at COL) | Just poured runs in Sacramento; Kyle Freeland 7.36 ERA awaits |
| Watch: Peralta revenge game | Former Brewer returns to Milwaukee vs Misiorowski (MIL -200) |
🏀 LENDEBORG LEADS WARRIORS TO SUMMER LEAGUE TITLE
Warriors 94, Grizzlies 90 (+5.5 dogs)
The box scores:
| Player | Line |
|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 21 pts (9-18), 10 reb, 2 ast, 2 stl — led all scorers |
| Cam Boozer | 19 pts (7-17), 8 reb, 4 ast, 2 stl |
The ROY Ticket Watch
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Boozer / Peterson | +300 (co-favorites) |
| Lendeborg | +1500 |
The line movement: Bet at 25/1 → 20/1 → now 15/1.
🏀 THE LEBRON PREDICTION MARKET FLIP
Miami Surges
Polymarket ($28M liquidity):
| Team | % |
|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 47% (NEW leader) |
| Cavaliers | Passed |
Scott: "Maybe it's the wisdom of the crowd telling us something."
The Bet: Heat +800 East
| Team | East Odds |
|---|---|
| Knicks | +320 |
| Celtics | +500 |
| Raptors | +750 |
| Sixers | +750 |
| Heat | +800 |
| Cavs | +850 |
Scott: "I'm thinking maybe it's a bet on the Miami Heat in ADVANCE of a potential LeBron announcement."
The Raptors mystery: Why +750? Kevin Durant to Toronto rumors floating (via Yahoo) — "maybe Toronto's not done wheeling and dealing."
The picture: Giannis + Bam + LeBron?! in Miami.
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