Braves First 5 Innings Team Total Over 2.5 (+114)
One of the hottest offenses in baseball gets the luxury of facing the worst-rated pitcher on the slate, and one of the worst-performing pitchers to open the 2026 season. The Braves enter Monday with an elite rated offense, featuring five elite hitters and two more with strong ratings. Six of those seven batters will hit from the left side this evening.
Through 12.1 innings and 57 left-handed hitters faced, Nationals starter Jake Irvin owns a 5.84 ERA, 5.84 xERA, 5.26 xFIP, and 1.54 WHIP. He’s allowing 51.6% hard contact, a 22.6% barrel rate, and a 22.6% line drive rate. Lefties are crushing him, posting a .486 xSLG and .386 xwOBA.Overall, Irvin sits at a 6.16 ERA, 4.81 FIP, and 1.47 WHIP to open the year. Opposing hitters are making 48.1% hard contact with a 14.8% barrel rate and 22.2% line drive rate. He also grades poorly in matchup wOBA, ISO, hard contact, and strikeout rate over on Batters-Box.
Away from home, Atlanta ranks fourth in wRC+, wOBA, and OPS. They’re also second in barrel rate and third in ISO, while sitting second in first five scoring at 3.32 runs per game. On the flip side, Washington is allowing the second-most first five runs at 3.45.Irvin himself is giving up 4.25 hits and 3.25 runs per outing.Plus money for one of the most complete offenses in baseball to hang 3 in the first five, sign me up.
🎯 PLAY: Braves First 5 Innings Team Total OVER 2.5 Runs (+114)