US Open Golf & World Cup Soccer
Scott Seidenberg and Brad Thomas talk US Open Golf after Round 1 and Week 2 of World Cup Soccer.
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⛳ US OPEN: WYNDHAM CLARK LEADS
Round 1 (Suspended)
| Position | Player | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Leader | Wyndham Clark | -6 |
| T2 | Field | -2, -1 |
Scott: "Six under is a very un-US Open like score."
The Leaderboard Tells The Story
Brad: "Look at the top 10: Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Gary Woodland, Dustin Johnson, Matt Fitzpatrick, Wyndham Clark. What do they all have in common? They are US Open Champions."
US Open champions T9 or better: ~10
⛳ Updated Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Wyndham Clark | +350 |
| Jon Rahm | +650 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +750 |
| Rory McIlroy | +850 |
| Scotty Scheffler | 15/1 |
⛳ The USGA Warning
Brad: "If too many guys are under par, we already know the superintendent's gonna say, 'We're not watering the greens.' They watered three times today. They're not gonna do that if the scores are too low."
Scott: "Those pin positions are gonna be brutal come Saturday."
⛳ Scott's Card: Live or Dead?
| Golfer | Status | Brad's Take |
|---|---|---|
| Scotty Scheffler | 15/1 | — |
| Xander Schauffele | — | — |
| Tommy Fleetwood | T18, Even | "24/1 is a really good live look" |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | T2, -2 | "I think Fitzpatrick wins this tournament" |
| Sam Burns | — | — |
Brad on Fleetwood
The stats: Gained 1.9 strokes putting, 3.34 strokes to field — yet T18 at even.
Brad: "He played better than maybe the numbers suggest."
Brad on Fitzpatrick
Brad: "US Open champion, been playing really good golf. Even in his down weeks, the approach numbers have been good. When other major champions have had bad tournaments, they've lost strokes with their irons. Fitzpatrick really hasn't done that."
⚽ WORLD CUP: THE DRAWS EXPLAINED
Brad's Theory Was... Wrong?
Brad: "My prediction was right, but the reasoning was totally incorrect. It was actually the bigger countries that didn't take it as seriously because they knew they just needed a point."
The pattern: France, Belgium, Spain, Uruguay — all sleepwalked in first halves.
⚽ The Bounce Back Strategy
Scott's theory: Bet teams that had upsetting draws in Game 1 to bounce back in Game 2.
The Evidence
| Team | Game 1 | Game 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Canada | Drew Bosnia | Beat Qatar 6-0 ✅ |
| Switzerland | Drew Qatar | Won ✅ |
Scott: "There's gonna be a fire lit under them."
⚽ USA vs Australia (Today)
| Line | Odds |
|---|---|
| USA | -165 |
| Australia | +410 |
| Draw | +340 |
Pulisic Status
Calf tweak in first match. Status uncertain.
Brad: "I don't really mind if he doesn't play. I'd prefer him to just be healthy."
The Matchup
Australia's style: Three center backs, back five, dare you to beat them wide. Worked vs Turkey (2-0).
Why USA is different: "United States doesn't mind playing wide. Pulisic, Sergino Dest, Weah, McKennie, Tillman — they have a lot of freedom to move."
The Tiebreaker Rule
Brad: "With the new changes in the tiebreaker rule, if the United States wins this match, no matter what happens, they're gonna win the group. So I think they're gonna come out absolutely firing."
⚽ Morocco vs Scotland
| Line | Odds |
|---|---|
| Morocco | -140 |
| Scotland | +450 |
| Draw | +250 |
Brad's Play: Morocco ML
Brad: "Love Morocco. Really good team. They don't allow a lot of space, don't allow you to sit on the ball. Scotland had a really good first game, but tactically, I didn't think it was that great. Scotland looked like they got a little tired. Morocco's tactically better, physically better, more conditioned."
⚽ Other Friday Matches
Brazil vs Haiti
| Line | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brazil | -1000 |
| Haiti | +2000 |
| Draw | +1000 |
Brazil: Coming off surprising draw vs Morocco. Fire lit.
Turkey vs Paraguay (Nightcap)
| Line | Odds |
|---|---|
| Turkey | +105 |
| Paraguay | +290 |
| Draw | +230 |
Brad's Play: Hakan Çalhanoğlu 1+ Shot on Target (+115)
Brad: "Turkey needs to win this match. Paraguay gives you some space in the middle of the pitch. Çalhanoğlu loves to shoot, loves to get in the middle to just rip. He had two shots on target vs Australia. Very accurate shooter. Will have opportunities on set pieces. All we need is to hit the keeper's hands — cash."
⚽ Futures Check
Brad's Portfolio: Unchanged
| Bet | Status |
|---|---|
| Mbappé Golden Boot | Confident |
| Mbappé + France parlay | Confident |
| Colombia 50/1 | New add |
Brad on Colombia: "Was 40/1 pre-tournament. Nothing happened for me to say Colombia's automatically worse. Taking a little reinvestment at a bigger number."
Scott's England +650
Scott: "I don't want to sound like I'm overreacting, but I bet England +650. Am I crazy for thinking football's coming home?"
Brad: "Yeah, I think you are. Really talented offensively, but man, the defensive lapses. They paid for it against a really subpar Croatia team. From an attacking standpoint, I'm not a big fan of Croatia. That was a really telling sign."
📋 Today's Plays
World Cup
| Bet | Odds | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| USA ML | -165 | Win = win group |
| Morocco ML | -140 | Brad loves it |
| Çalhanoğlu 1+ SOT | +115 | Turkey/Paraguay |
📅 Coming Up
Today
- World Cup: USA vs Australia, Morocco vs Scotland, Brazil vs Haiti, Turkey vs Paraguay
- US Open: Round 1 completion, Round 2
Saturday
- US Open: Moving day
- World Cup: Spain vs Saudi Arabia (revenge game)
- CWS: Championship Game 1 (Oklahoma vs UNC)
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